Beware the Ides of October: Science Czar John P. Holdren and the new WH Swine Flu Fear-Mongering Report

While the Emperor vacations, his Science Czar John P. Holdren and friends, in keeping with the pseudo-science alarmist exaggerations of the climate change warm-mongering tradition, have released H1N1 (aka Swine Flu) preparedness report (dated August 7th, but released on August 23rd). It is a fine piece of flu fear-mongering.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/PCAST_H1N1_Report.pdf (86 pages from Science Czar and Friends)

excerpt from the 86 page report:

TABLE 3-1: A POSSIBLE (NOT PREDICTIVE) SCENARIO TO HELP PLAN FOR THE FALL RESURGENCE OF 2009-H1N1 INFLUENZA IN THE UNITED STATES

Peak incidence date (unmitigated): October 15, 2009

Peak incidence of symptomatic disease: 1–2% of U.S. population (3–6 million people)on the U.S. epidemic's single peak day

Percent of U.S. population (and approximate numbers) assuming no change in virus

Infected (indicated by seroconversions,with or without symptoms): 30–50% (90–150 million)
Symptomatic: 20–40% (60–120 million)
Needing medical attention: 15–30% (45–90 million)
Needing hospital care: 0.3–0.6% (0.9–1.8 million)
Needing Intensive Care Unit (ICU) facilities: 0.05–0.1% (150,000–300,000)
Deaths: 0.01–0.03% (30,000–90,000)
Peak occupancy of ICU beds due to 2009-H1N1: 10–25 ICU beds/100,000 population1
Peak occupany of hospital beds due to 2009-H1N1: 50–150 hospital beds/100,000 population2
High-risk groups for death or hospitalization:
Pregnant women; children (0–4 years old); patients with neuromuscular/neurocognitive disorders, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, severe obesity, or immunocompromising